Some 56% of respondents said they recognized Greens name and had a favorable opinion, compared to 24% for Caldwell and 13% for Cayetano. For the 133 responses for the Republican primary, the margin of error was 8.7 percentage points. John Duarte, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Californias 13th Congressional District. GOP starts boosting Walker in runoff amid calls to keep Trump away from Georgia, Maricopa County officials apologize for Arizona ballot reader issue, New Hampshires James Roesener is first trans man elected to a state legislature, Here are the Black candidates who made history on election night, Biden speaks with McCarthy as House control remains too early to call, So much relief: South Dakota voters pass Medicaid expansion, Counting in Nevada's Clark County continues after 56,900 mail ballots were received on Election Day, Eric Sorensen becomes first LGBTQ person elected to Congress from Illinois, Latino Republican voters are more progressive than white Republican voters on key issues, exit polls find, Alaska Senate race headed to ranked choice runoff, Schumer says Democrats are 'feeling good' about keeping majority after pundits 'missed it', Abortion rights advocates see a flurry of post-Roe victories in midterms. Stacey Abrams has conceded to Brian Kemp, the Republican governor of Georgia. In a statement to the Star- Advertiser, Penn said: We have tremendous confidence in the people of Hawaii. All rights reserved. I care about people. Alicia Parlapiano John Fetterman defeated the celebrity TV host Dr. Mehmet Oz, flipping Pennsylvanias Senate seat to the Democrats. Only seven people have held Senate seats since Hawaii became a state in 1959. Another participant, Natasha Shinyame, a 40-year-old flooring contractor from Mililani, said she prefers Cayetano. Josh Green adds to long list", "Endorsements stacking up for Josh Green in Hawaii governor's race", "Lt. Gov. Nov. 8, 2022, Kentucky, a solidly red state, reelected Rand Paul to the Senate. Kathy Hochul claimed victory late Tuesday against Representative Lee Zeldin, a conservative Republican. This number is an estimate and is based on several different factors, including information on the number of votes cast early as well as information provided to our vote reporters on Election Day from county election officials. Mahalo for supporting Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Nov. 2, 2022, at 12:30 p.m. Hawaii: What to Expect on Election Night. Voters will pick their candidates to replace Gov. Mr. Greens housing plan includes easing regulations to speed up home construction, allowing development on more public land and targeting illegal vacation units. , In Nevadas race for governor, Joe Lombardo, a Trump-backed sheriff, beat Gov. were perhaps the biggest issue in the race, a questionnaire from The Honolulu Star-Advertiser. Nov. 9, 2022, J.D. For the open Senate seat in Ohio, J.D. The 2022 Hawaii gubernatorial election took place on November 8, 2022, to elect the next governor of Hawaii. The choice mirrors an 1845 law that set federal elections on the Tuesday next after the first Monday in November.. Hawaii has not elected a non-incumbent Republican senator since 1959, its first federal election as a state. Candidate Total Votes Arizonas closely watched races for Senate and governor remained too close to call in the state, where 400,000 ballots in Maricopa County await counting. There are 10 candidates vying for the Republican nomination only one of whom, State Representative Bob McDermott of Oahu, has held elected office before. Lazaro Gamio [7] Registration can be completed in the following ways: " Online: Visit olvr.hawaii.gov. Follow along after polls close. One of the tightest governors races in the country is between Gov. Greens theoretical vote tally dipped from 58% in January to 55% in July. Some 29% of voters are unsure. Nov. 10, 2022, More than 200,000 Georgia voters cast ballots for Brian Kemp, Republican candidate for governor, but did not vote for Herschel Walker in the Senate race. Hawaii Midterm Election 2022, a state guide to help plan your vote, including key dates, voting info, and Primary results for Republican and Democratic candidates as the countdown to November 8th . Ms. Cayetano a businesswoman who co-founded Hawaiis largest laundry services company and whose husband, Ben Cayetano, was governor from 1994 to 2002 campaigned on creating a state-funded pipeline for renters to earn ownership of their homes, and on eliminating state income taxes for people earning less than $50,000. Democrats launched a late ad campaign hitting Republican Eric Aadland, who is seeking to become first alphabetically in congressional history by last name. Updated Aug. 16, 2022, 2:48 PM ET. Lt. Gov. For more information, visit cnn.com/election. See the rest of our predictions. Nov. 9, 2022, Voters in three states enshrined lasting protections for abortion rights in their state Constitutions. . The Hawaii Poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy of Washington, D.C., from July 12 to 17. Some 35% of Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders said they support Green compared to 32% who say theyd back Kahele, who is Native Hawaiian. Jocelyn Benson, the Democratic secretary of state who has confronted repeated harassment from far-right election deniers, won re-election to her post in Michigan. Hes a great guy, they said.. August 10, 2024. The cash on hand is significant in that it allows me to reach out to voters statewide on the very serious issues facing Hawaii. Officials say the timing of results will depend on how many people return their ballots at the last minute on Election Day. David Ige. Telephone: 808-529-4747. Dont expect quick results in either race; officials in Alaska wont finish counting absentee ballots for about two weeks. The Civil Beat/HNN poll was conducted from June 28 to 30 and 1,120 registered voters. Senator Brian Schatz has also served as Hawaiis lieutenant governor and held other offices. Nov. 8, 2022, The early vote in Arizona has been strong for Democrat Mark Kelly, but we expect a good portion of the in-person and late-counted mail vote to favor Blake Masters. Incumbent lieutenant governor Josh Green was the Democratic nominee, and faced former lieutenant governor Duke Aiona, the Republican nominee. Nov. 8, 2022, Republicans are favored to win the open Senate races in North Carolina and Ohio, but if Democrats have a better-than-expected day, these are two places we might see evidence of it. I really liked his communication through the pandemic., Briscoes sister and her husband also met Green on separate occasions and made the same recommendation, Briscoe said. , Emilia Sykes, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Ohios 13th Congressional District. Jen Kiggans, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent Virginias Second Congressional District. Georgias Senate race might culminate in a runoff election on Dec. 6 if no candidate receives 50 percent of the vote. Senator Brian Schatz of Hawaii is on the ballot in the Democratic primary, facing only a nominal challenger as he seeks re-election in the deep-blue state. Senator Raphael Warnock of Georgia, a Democrat, won a runoff election to defeat Herschel Walker, a Trump-backed Republican and former football star. Hawaii Elections Forecast 2022: Ratings, Predictions & Key Races. David Ige. Nov. 8, 2022, Democrat Tim Ryan leads Republican J.D. Mazie Hirono and Brian Schatz on their campaigns. In Indiana, a House race in the 1st district leans Democratic, but, if the seat were to flip, it could be an early sign of a red wave. He holds a large lead in public polling. Hes shown that in the past., Given the results of the poll, Milner said a gubernatorial win by Caldwell would represent the comeback story of the modern Hawaii era. Copyright 2023 StarAdvertiser.com. Nov. 8, 2022, Arizona has multiple races featuring Republicans who have questioned the legitimacy of the 2020 election. She is expected to win easily in November against Joe Akana, the winner of the Republican primary, for the seat being vacated by Representative Kai Kahele, a Democrat who opted to run for governor but lost. Nov. 8, 2022, These charts show how the reported vote margin (the dashed line) compares with our estimated final margin (the solid line, surrounded by bands of uncertainty) over time. The race has drawn more than a million dollars in outside spending, mostly on behalf of Mr. Branco. Log in now to continue reading this story. race", "HGEA endorses Sylvia Luke for lieutenant governor", "Editorial: For lieutenant governor's race, it's Sylvia Luke", "Former Lt. Gov. Ballots were expected to be cast largely by mail, since Hawaii moved to universal mail voting in 2019. Races to watch include those in the 17th, 18th, 19th and 22nd Congressional Districts, as well as the contest for governor. Nate Cohn It included 800 registered Hawaii voters and has a margin of error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage points. So why do most states hold their primary elections on Tuesdays? He would have to offend a lot of voters who already say they support him. Duke Aiona and a Honolulu City Council member, Heidi Tsuneyoshi. Sections. David Ige. Reporting by Lalena Fisher and Alyce McFadden; production by Amanda Cordero and Jessica White; editing by Wilson Andrews, Kenan Davis, Amy Hughes and Ben Koski. The polls are now closed in Arizona, Colorado, Minnesota, New York, Wisconsin and several other states. While 79% of Democrats say they approve of Greens overall performance, so do 52% of Republicans and 57% of independent poll participants. Governor Republican Primary. Here are the results that mattered most for abortion access. Terms of service | Privacy Policy | Do not sell my info | Notice to California Residents, Design & development: Andrew Briz, Beatrice Jin, Arjun Kakkar, Andrew McGill, Allan James Vestal, Audience & strategy: Caroline Amenabar, Annie Bryan, Kam Burns, Isabel Dobrin, Annie Yu, Elana Zak. If youre Kirk Caldwell, its hard to imagine you dropping out of the race. Josh Green, the leading candidate so far to become Hawaii's next governor, has a commanding 65% overall approval rating among Hawaii voters and an even more impressive 70% approval . Seth Magaziner, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent Rhode Islands Second Congressional District. . Heres what the vote count could look like this year. That batch will include the remainder of the mail ballots and all ballots cast in person on Election Day. The polls just closed in Montana, Utah and parts of Nevada, Idaho and Oregon. On paper, the candidates have similar views they both support abortion rights and stricter gun laws, for example but gun issues have become a point of contention. . In the last primary, almost 99 percent of Hawaii voters voted by mail. Today's Paper. The New York Timess results team is a group of graphics editors, engineers and reporters who build and maintain software to publish election results in real-time as they are reported by results providers. Heres where we think votes remain. That was nearly three times Mr. Iges 22 percent approval rating, as voters seemed to credit Mr. Green the public face of the states pandemic response rather than the governor for the improving situation. Lazaro Gamio Our state is at a pivotal point in its history, change is in the wind, and this is an important opportunity to direct our state toward a more resilient future, Caldwell said in a statement. Much of their sparring was over who would be a stronger advocate for such measures. When the dates of tracking polls from the same pollster overlap, only the most recent version is shown. And Kansas Democratic governor, Laura Kelly, is in a tight re-election race, as is Gov. Greg Abbott brushed off a well-funded challenge from Beto ORourke, winning a third term as Texas governor. Nate Cohn Some 48% of Hawaii voters say they support Green. North Carolina's . Democratic Rep. Ami Bera is still a heavy favorite, but his party appears set to lose ground in California. Gabe Vasquez, Democrat, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Mexicos Second Congressional District. Aside from that, the main action at this hour will be in the House, with a close race in Washingtons 8th District and at least half a dozen in California. As of Aug. 10, about 234,000 ballots had already been returned, according to Hawaiis Office of Elections. #7-500 We're constantly speaking with campaigns to form our ratings. John Fetterman has been locked in a bitter contest against Mehmet Oz, the Republican celebrity doctor. Redistricting will change everything. As of July, Hawaii was the most expensive state in the nation to live in. Josh Green Is Racking Up Union Endorsements, Adding To His Momentum", "Editorial: For governor's race, it's Josh Green and Duke Aiona", "Congressman Kaialii Kahele makes official announcement of run for Hawaii Governor", "August 13, 2022 Primary Election - Statewide Summary", "Hawaii Rep. Sylvia Luke Plans To Run For Lieutenant Governor", "State Rep. Sylvia Luke announces run for lieutenant governor", "Keith Amemiya joins race for lieutenant governor", "Ikaika Anderson Launches Campaign for Hawaii Lt. Nov. 8, 2022, In Kentucky, voters will decide whether to approve a constitutional amendment that would effectively ensure the implementation of a near-total abortion ban. , Senator Catherine Cortez Masto of Nevada won a second term, beating Adam Laxalt, a Trump acolyte, and dealing a blow to Republicans. In a Q. and A. with Honolulu Civil Beat, Mr. Schatz listed the rising cost of living as the most challenging issue facing Hawaii and said we need to make it more affordable for people to build a life here.. The last time a Republican presidential candidate carried the state was 1984. Democratic Rep. Haley Stevens survived a member-versus-member primary in August likely the biggest obstacle to her reelection. Read this story for free: Watch an ad or complete a survey, Hawaii lieutenant governors race deadlocked, Voters give Ige and Biden approval boost, Hawaii Poll shows, Misdemeanor probe into Honolulu police union leadership forwarded to state Attorney General, Hawaii Real Estate Sales: June 13 June 17, 2022. Alicia Parlapiano Hes got a network, hes got fundraising and hes a pro when it comes to campaigning. Nov. 9, 2022, House districts rated as tossups have been called mostly in favor of Democrats so far, with one state as a glaring exception: New York. After its voters turned out at the lowest rate of any state about 39 percent in the 2018 general election, lawmakers switched the state to universal mail voting. Hanabusa left Congress in 2018 to run against incumbent Gov. These ballots, which in 2020 favored Trump, were not enough to tilt the election in favor of the Republican candidate Kari Lake. Only counties that have reported almost all of their votes are shown. They are also used to choose convention delegates and party leaders. Already a subscriber? Do Americans Approve Or Disapprove Of Kamala Harris? Winer previously served as Hawaii director for Barack Obamas presidential campaign and has helped U.S. Sens. Cayetano communications director Lynne Waters wrote in a statement that, Much has transpired since the interviews for this poll were conducted, notably the recent series of televised debates. , Marc Molinaro, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 19th Congressional District. Voters in Kentucky will decide whether to approve an amendment that would reject abortion rights in the State Constitution. Susan Wild, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Pennsylvanias Seventh Congressional District. , Mike Lawler, Republican, wins U.S. House seat to represent New Yorks 17th Congressional District. 2018 ABC News Internet Ventures. Green would receive 55% of Democratic Primary votes if the election were held today, according to the results of the Honolulu Star-Advertisers Hawaii Poll. Thats not what Kirk Caldwell does, Milner said. Lt. Gov. NYT Graphics Tuesday, January 3, 2023. California, Michigan, Kentucky and Montana also have abortion referendums on the ballot. Outside groups supporting Mr. Branco ran attack ads condemning Ms. Tokuda over her 2012 endorsement from the National Rifle Association, though she subsequently supported gun control measures in the State Senate. Caldwell indicated that he remains optimistic about his level of support. View Hawaii's 2020 election results for US President, House of Representatives and other key races and ballot measures. Nov. 9, 2022, Majority-Hispanic counties in Florida voted to reelect Gov. Nov. 9, 2022, Alaska has competitive races for both the Senate and the House, neither of which is a straightforward Democrat-versus-Republican affair. , Susie Lee, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Nevadas Third Congressional District. Though the practice may be unusual in the United States, Hawaii isnt the only place to hold a primary election on a Saturday. Exit Polls Hawaii Updated 4:40 PM EST, Tue November 8, 2022 Sen. Brian E. Schatz is running for reelection in Hawaii. Notice any bugs or missing polls? Nov. 8, 2022, Gov. A total of 800 registered Hawaii voters were interviewed statewide by landline telephone and cell phones. This marked the third time Aiona had been the Republican gubernatorial nominee, having previously run unsuccessfully in 2010 and 2014. . Among Hawaiis four counties, Greens highest overall support comes from Hawaii County (71%), followed by Maui County (70%), Honolulu County (63%) and Kauai County (62%), the poll shows. Representative Sean Patrick Maloney has conceded defeat to Mike Lawler, a first-term Republican state assemblyman. Civil Beat/HNN poll shows Green with commanding lead in Democratic race for governor. Incumbent. Greens high numbers are similar to the January Hawaii Poll that was conducted before Kahele gave up his congressional reelection bid to instead announce his gubernatorial candidacy in May. , Frank J. Mrvan, Democrat, wins re-election to the U.S. House to represent Indianas First Congressional District. Greens dominance includes majority support from every county, ethnic group and even 52% overall support from Republicans, according to the poll. North Carolina's 2nd District. Lazaro Gamio Mr. Schatz, as the states lieutenant governor, was a rising political star in Hawaii when he was appointed to the Senate. . Quotas were assigned to reflect voter registration by county. No election. votes. 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